Project Report:
US Forest Carbon Pricing Initiative 2025-2026
Purpose
- Investigates the causes of economic imbalances.
- Investigates causes tending to destroy or impair the free-market system.
- Explores and develops market-based solutions.

Summary

In 2025 and 2026 CSE seeks support to extend our work on forest carbon pricing and market-based solutions to deforestation and forest degradation by (1) advocating for a no-net-forestland-loss policy in key land use planning processes; (2) continuing to publicize and disseminate our peer reviewed paper and model legislation for a forest carbon tax and reward program; (3) researching and advocating for carbon border adjustments both in the US and internationally that include a price on forest carbon; (4) building strategic alliances with wood alternative industry leaders to help combat logging subsidies and timber industry disinformation, and; (5) defending and extending legal victories holding public agencies accountable for the social cost of forest carbon emissions under state environmental policy acts.

Description

Project update 11-30-25:

CSE’s US Forest Carbon Pricing Initiative continues in full swing in 2025 thanks in large part to the sustained investments we have received from the Alex C. Walker Foundation. We are one of the only forest conservation organizations in the nation using environmental economics to make the case for a halt to deforestation and forest degradation as a tool for achieving climate stability, reversing the extinction crisis, and diversifying rural communities that remain trapped in the ‘resource curse’ of unsustainable industrial logging activities. Key outputs thus far in 2025 include:

July: Report – Boreal forests down the toilet. A preliminary analysis of greenhouse gas emissions associated with clearcut logging on the Trout Lake and Wabigoon concessions, Ontario, CA. In this report CSE provided one of the first life cycle assessments of carbon emissions associated with the manufacturing and export of pulp to the United States that is used to make tissue paper and paper towels. This is the most wasteful use of productive forestlands that would otherwise be removing significant quantities of carbon dioxide out of the atmosphere and supporting a wide range of subsistence and recreational uses of these forestlands by First Nations people and the recreation and tourism sector in Ontario.

The report found an extremely high carbon intensity of production. The total GHG emissions associated with clearcutting on the two concessions and manufacturing wood chips to pulp at the Dryden Fibre Canada mill are nearly 3.8 MMT CO2-e each year. This is equivalent to 11.6 tCO2-e for each ton of wood pulp produced by the mill and the annual emissions from 824,000 gas-powered passenger vehicles. At the minimum estimate for the social cost of carbon (~$148 per tCO2-e) this translates into over $560 million a year in climate damages and is equivalent to about $0.19 for each toilet paper roll eventually manufactured from the pulp and a minimum of $1,715 per ton of Northern Bleached Softwood Kraft exported, which is more or less in line with its current export price. As such, in this case, we found that any financial benefits associated with the export of pulp from boreal forest clearcutting in Ontario are likely to canceled by just this one externality.

July: Editorial published in the Washington Times - When a 100% tariff is justified: Canadian pulp should be addressed in renewed trade talks. Based on the findings of the boreal forest report, CSE published this opinion piece in the Washington Times, a conservative news outlet, with the hopes of bringing some common sense into the ongoing tit for tat battles over trade and tariffs. We make the case for basing tariffs on carbon – or border carbon adjustments – rather than the chaotic tariff and counter tariff regime now in effect. With respect to pulp and paper, BCAs would make markets more efficient by internalizing the social costs of paper products made from wood and leveling the playing field for non-wood suppliers, such as US farmers supplying agricultural wastes for tree free paper, who now face unfair competition from subsidized wood products such as pulp from boreal forest clearcutting.

August: Editorial published in the Port Townsend Leader – Time to get Washington DNR out of the logging business. As part of CSE’s efforts to advance the forest carbon tax and reward policy, CSE published this piece in the Port Townsend Leader providing details on how such a policy can free up Department of Natural Resources (DNR) lands for other uses – like recreation and carbon sequestration – while generating all of the revenues needed to make beneficiaries of DNR’s logging program whole. In particular, our 2024 peer reviewed publication (published in the journal Environment, Development and Sustainability), found that a modest forest carbon tax on industrial logging operations could raise up to $213 million a year while maintaining industrial forestlands as a lucrative investment. This is more than enough to compensate all of the counties and tribes now receiving money from the sale of DNR timber.

October: SEPA lawsuit hearing and press. CSE remains the only organization in the country, and perhaps the world, that has successfully sued to force public agency decision makers to account for the climate damages associated with clearcut logging. We have won twice in Washington state at the superior court level, but DNR chose to appeal the rulings rather than comply with them. At an appellate court hearing in late October, we were encouraged by the justices’ questions to DNR about why they feel they do not need to consider alternatives to logging – like entering carbon markets – when the requirements of the State Environmental Policy Act (SEPA) are very clear on that point. Subsequently, we received excellent news coverage of the hearing in the Everett Herald.

November: SEPA and NEPA challenges to damaging timber sales. Encouraged by the appeal hearing, CSE has now rebooted its systematic challenging of all DNR and federal timber sales that involve clearcutting and road building in mature naturally regenerated ‘legacy’ forests. We are arguing that a full climate impacts analysis needs to be completed and that alternatives, like conservation leasing and carbon offset payments, need to be carefully considered. It is our hope that with a favorable outcome at the appellate court level, we will be in a position to request preliminary injunctions against these sales before they are sold. In just three weeks, we have filed new challenges to timber sales that encompass over 3,000 acres.

November: Policy victory - Oregon EO 25 – 26 and no-net-loss. For several years, CSE has been advocating for a no-net-loss policy on forestlands that mirrors the compensatory mitigation program for the nation’s wetlands administered by the Army Corps of Engineers. The concept is simple: to maintain or rebuild the carbon sequestration capacity of the landscape, every new project that involves paving over or destroying forestlands should have as a mitigation requirement the protection or restoration of a functionally equivalent amount of forestland elsewhere. Functional equivalence would be based on carbon sequestration. The no-net-loss wetlands policy requires more than a 1:1 replacement to account for uncertainty, and if this were applied to forestlands it would result in a steady and perhaps increasing stock of protected forestlands that will capture carbon for decades.

In early November, Oregon Governor Tina Kotek issued Executive Order 25 – 26, which to our surprise, included the compensatory mitigation approach as something agencies that have jurisdiction over natural and working lands to pursue. This provides our first major opening on the no-net-loss policy and CSE will be providing expert input into the EO 25 – 26 process as it unfolds over the next year.

Purpose

Climate change has been referred to as the most spectacular market failure ever. The market’s failure to incorporate the costs of climate change into prices of wood and paper products supports a tremendous level of over-production, over-consumption, and wasteful uses of these commodities. Putting a price on high-emissions logging operations is a critical market-based solution for internalizing the catastrophic costs associated with climate change and rebalancing markets to support efficient use of energy resources, forestlands, and wood products. With respect to forestlands, CSE has pioneered the development of several market-based policy interventions that decision makers can use to help expedite the transformation of industrial forest practices to climate smart alternatives. These include forest carbon tax and reward, subsidy reform, cap and invest, no net loss and climate resiliency plans for large owners.

Scope

We are working at the federal level by participating in new regulatory processes initiated by the Biden-Harris Administration via Executive Order 14008, Executive Order 14072, and the new US pledge to end deforestation and forest degradation by 2030. Despite being rescinded by President Donald Trump the processes initiated by the executive orders nonetheless are continuing with IRA funds that cannot be recalled and thus require our engagement. There are also a slew of new threats to US forests caused by the Trump Administration’s executive orders and resetting of federal agency priorities. Although limited, we do envision working at the federal level to push back against these emerging threats. We are also working at the state level in parallel executive-order processes, primarily in the states of Maine, North Carolina, Washington and Oregon.

Information Dissemination

Results and findings from our work will be disseminated widely on various forest conservation listservs, in earned media, in opinion pieces, and through in-person meetings with key decision makers.

Project Link https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2025/jul/8/100-tariff-justified-canadian-pulp-addressed-renewed-trade-talks/

Amount Approved
$50,000.00 on 5/31/2025 (Check sent: 6/6/2025)


The mature forests of the Wishbone timber sale are at the heart of CSE's successful climate lawsuits in Washington State. For now, the forests are protected. Photo by Joshua Wright / Aberdeen Daily World.

In a new report, CSE has found that clearcutting boreal forests in Canada to manufacture toilet paper in the US makes no economic sense since the economic damages far outweigh the financial benefits.

Attachments
Legacy Forests of the Wishbone Timbe Sale
Boreal clearcutting.png

Contacts


Dr. John Talberth
President and Senior Economist, Center for Sustainable Economy

Posted 3/24/2025 1:10 PM
Updated   11/30/2025 3:14 PM

  • Nonprofit

© 2025 Alex C. Walker Foundation